Journal articles

Dudel, C., Schneider, D. (2021): How bad could it be? Worst-case bounds on bias in multistate models due to unobserved transitions. Sociological Methods & Research. [Open access article] [Code]

Dudel, C. (2021): Expanding the Markov chain tool box: Distributions of occupation times and waiting times. Sociological Methods & Research 50: 401-428. [Article] [Preprint] [Code]

Riffe, T., Acosta, E., Dudel, C., COVerAGE-DB Project Team (2021): COVerAGE-DB: a database of age-structured COVID-19 cases and deaths. International Journal of Epidemiology 50: 390-390f. [Open access article] [Preprint] [Data & code]

Hale, J., Dudel, C., Lorenti, A. (2021): Cumulative disparities in the dynamics of working poverty for later-career U.S. workers (2002-2012). Socius 7. [Open access article] [Preprint] [Code]

Dudel, C., Klüsener, S. (2021): Male-female fertility differentials across 17 high-income countries: Insights from a new data resource. European Journal of Population 37: 417-441. [Open access article] [Preprint] [Code]

Dudel, C., Garbuszus, J. M., Schmied, J. (2021): Assessing differences in household needs: a comparison of approaches for the estimation of equivalence scales using German expenditure data. Empirical Economics 60: 1629-1659. [Open access article] [Code]

Dudel, C., Garbuszus, J. M., Ott, N., Werding, M. (2021): Income-(in)dependent equivalence scales and inequality measurement. German Economic Review 22: 235-255. [Article] [Preprint] [Code]

Dudel, C., Myrskylä, M. (2020): Cohort Trends in Working Life Expectancies at Age 50 in the United States: A Register-Based Study Using Social Security Administration Data. Journals of Gerontology, Series B 75: 1504–1514. [Open access article] [Code]

Bohk-Ewald, C., Dudel, C., Myrskylä, M. (2020): A demographic scaling model for estimating the total number of COVID-19 infections. International Journal of Epidemiology 49: 1963-1971. [Open access article] [Code]

Dudel, C., Riffe, T., Acosta, E., van Raalte, A., Myrskylä, M. (2020): Monitoring trends and differences in COVID-19 case fatality rates using decomposition methods: Contributions of age structure and age-specific fatality. PLoS ONE 15: e0238904 . [Open access article] [Data & Code]

Lorenti, A., Dudel, C., Hale, J., Myrskylä, M. (2020): Working and disability expectancies at older ages: the role of childhood circumstances and education. Social Science Research 91: 102447. [Open access article] [Code]

Dudel, C., Myrskylä, M. (2020): Estimating the number and length of episodes in disability using a Markov chain approach. Population Health Metrics 18: 15. [Open access article] [Code]

Dudel, C., Schmied, J., Werding, M. (2020): Sicherungsziele für die Rente: empirische Messung und Ergebnisse. Wirtschaftsdienst 2020/3: 185-193. [Open access article] [Code]

Pötzsch, O., Klüsener, S., Dudel, C. (2020): Wie hoch ist die Kinderzahl von Männern? Wirtschaft und Statistik 5/2020: 59-77. [Open access article]

Dudel, C., Klüsener, S. (2019): Estimating men’s fertility from vital registration data with missing values. Population Studies 73: 439-449. [Open access article] [Code]

Pifarré i Arolas, H., Dudel, C. (2019): An ordinal measure of population health. Social Indicators Research 143: 1219-1243. [Open access article] [Code]

Kühn, M., Dudel, C., Vogt, T., Oksuzyan, A. (2019): Trends in gender differences in health and mortality at working age of West and East Germans. Social Science & Medicine: Population Health 7: 100326. [Open access article]

Lorenti, A., Dudel, C., Myrskylä, M. (2019): The legacy of the Great Recession in Italy: A wider geographical, gender, and generational gap in working life expectancy. Social Indicators Research 142: 283-303. [Open access article]

Dudel, C., López Gómez, M., Benavides, F., Myrskylä, M. (2018): The Length of Working Life in Spain: Levels, Recent Trends, and the Impact of the Financial Crisis. European Journal of Population 34: 769-791. [Open access article]

Dudel, C., Myrskylä, M. (2017): Working Life Expectancy at Age 50 in the US and the Impact of the Great Recession. Demography 54: 2101-2121. [Open access article] [Data] [Code]

Dudel, C. (2017): Variance estimation for sensitivity analysis of poverty and inequality measures. Survey Research Methods 11: 81-92. [Open access article] [Code]

Dudel, C., Garbuszus, J. M., Ott, N., Werding, M. (2017): Matching as non-parametric preprocessing for the estimation of equivalence scales. Journal of Economics and Statistics 237: 115-141. [Article] [Preprint] [Code]

Dudel, C., Garbuszus, J. M., Ott, N., Werding, M. (2017): Regelbedarfsermittlung für die Grundsicherung: Perspektiven für die Weiterentwicklung. Sozialer Fortschritt 66: 433-450. [Article]

Dudel, C., Klüsener, S. (2016): Estimating male fertility in eastern and western Germany since 1991: A new lowest low? Demographic Research 35: 1549-1560. [Open access article] [Code]

Dudel, C., Ott, N., Werding, M. (2016): Maintaining One’s Living Standard at Old Age: What Does That Mean? Evidence Using Panel Data from Germany. Empirical Economics 51: 1261-1279. [Article] [Preprint]

Dudel, C. (2015): Vorausberechnung des Pflegepotentials von Kindern für ihre pflegebedürftigen Eltern. Sozialer Fortschritt 64: 14-24. [Article]

Dudel, C. (2015): Demografischer Wandel und Vertikalisierung von Verwandtschaftsbeziehungen. Wirtschaft und Statistik 3/2015: 53-61. [Open access article]

Dudel, C. (2015): Nonparametric bounds on equivalence scales. Economics Bulletin 35: 2161-2165. [Open access article] [Code]


Dudel, C. (2014): Vorausberechnung von Verwandtschaft. Wie sich die gemeinsame Lebenszeit von Kindern, Eltern und Großeltern zukünftig entwickelt. Beiträge zur Bevölkerungswissenschaft des Bundesinstituts für Bevölkerungsforschung, Band 45. Opladen: Budrich. [Open access book]

Dudel, C., Garbuszus, J. M., Ott, N., Werding, M. (2014): Überprüfung der bestehenden und Entwicklung neuer Verteilungsschlüssel zur Ermittlung von Regelbedarfen auf Basis der Einkommens- und Verbrauchsstichprobe 2008. ZEFIR-Forschungsbericht, Band 5. Bochum: Zentrum für Interdisziplinäre Regionalforschung (ZEFIR). [Open access book]

Book chapters

Dudel, C. (2018): Demografie. In: Voigt, R. (Ed.), Handbuch Staat. Band I. Wiesbaden: Springer. [Chapter]

Dudel, C. (2018): Statistik. In: Voigt, R. (Ed.), Handbuch Staat. Band II. Wiesbaden: Springer. [Chapter]

Dudel, C., Althammer, J, Ott, N. (2010): Die Verhandlungsfamilie. Empirische Evidenz familienökonomischer Verhandlungsmodelle. In: Walper, S., Wendt, E.-V. (Ed.), Partnerschaft und die Beziehungen zu Eltern und Kindern: Befunde zur Beziehungs- und Familienentwicklung in Deutschland. Würzburg: Ergon. [Publisher website]

Other publications

Dudel, C., Werding, M., Schmied, J. (2021): Lebensstandardsicherung im Alter: Wie hoch muss die Rente sein? DAV-Kompass 2021. [Article]

Dudel, C., Cheng, Y. A., Klüsener, S. (2020): The unexplored parental age gap in an era of fertility postponement. MPIDR Working Paper WP-2020-018. [Preprint] [Data & code]

Klüsener, S., Schneider, R., Rosenbaum-Feldbrügge, M., Dudel, C., et al. (2020): Forecasting intensive care unit demand during the COVID-19 pandemic: A spatial age-structured microsimulation model. [Preprint] [Code]

Dudel, C.; Klüsener, S. (2019): Male fertility data for 17 high-income countries: data documentation and methods. MPIDR Technical Report TR-2019-001. [Report] [Code] [Data]

Dudel, C., Schmied, J. (2019): Pension adequacy standards: an empirical estimation strategy and results for the United States and Germany. MPIDR Working Paper WP-2019-003. [Preprint] [Code]

Dudel, C., Myrskylä, M., Schröder, T. (2018): Wie lang ist ein Arbeitsleben? Demografische Forschung aus erster Hand 15/3. [Link]

Dudel, C., Myrskylä, M. (2018): How long do older Americans work? IUSSP-N. [Article]

Dudel, C., Klüsener, S., Schröder, T. (2017): Die Kinder der Väter. Demografische Forschung aus erster Hand 14/2. [Link]

Dudel, C., Garbuszus, J. M., Ott, N., Werding, M. (2015): Income Dependent Equivalence Scales, Inequality, and Poverty. CESifo Working Paper No. 5568. [Preprint]

Dudel, C. (2014): Mehr oder weniger Verwandte? Der Einfluss des demografischen Wandels auf die zukünftige Entwicklung linearer Verwandtschaft. Bevölkerungsforschung Aktuell 3/2014. [Link]

Dudel, C. (2009): The Demographic Dilemma: Fertility, Female Labor Force Participation and Future Growth in Germany 2007-2060. SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Research 158. [Preprint]

Dudel, C. (2008): Verwandtschaft heute und morgen: Bestimmung des Umfangs verwandtschaftlicher Netzwerke 2006 und 2050. Diskussionspapiere der Fakultät für Sozialwissenschaft 08-2. [Preprint]


Working Trajectories in the HRS: As a supplement to the U.S. Health and Retirement Study (HRS) I created a data set of detailed working trajectories. The data and its documentation are available through the University of Michigan's Institute for Social Research: data covers waves 1992 to 2014 of the HRS, and AHEAD 1995. For each respondent it contains the working history recorded to the nearest month, using the detailed self-reported information on worklife trajectories included in the HRS.

Male fertility in high-income countries: Together with Sebastian Klüsener I created a database on male fertility. It contains age-specific fertility rates for 17 high-income countries. The data is available as part of the Human Fertility Collection hosted by the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research and the Vienna Institute of Demography.

COVerAGE-DB: COVID-19 cases, deaths, and tests by age and sex: As part of a large consortium I am involved in a database project which collects data on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and tests by age and sex. The database can be accessed here: Data collection is still ongoing and the database is updated regularly.